Is Moscow backing away from Syria? How can Assad NOT need better air defenses? Not that any of the Russian IADS are unbeatable

MOSCOW – Russia is not in talks with the Syrian government about supplying advanced S-300 ground-to-air missiles and does not think they are needed, the Izvestia daily cited a top Kremlin aide as saying on Friday, in an apparent U-turn by Moscow.

www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Russia-after-Netanyahu-visit-backs-off-Syria-S-300-missile-supplies-556165

Swedes operating in the Eastern Mediterranean?

The Swedes have plenty of data that they’ve acquired monitoring the Russians in the Baltic. It’s interesting to see them joining the game in the Eastern Med.

On May 1, 2018, a Swedish Air Force S102B Korpen has started operating in the eastern Med.

The aircraft is one of two SwAF’s S102B Korpen aircraft, heavily-modified Gulfstream IVSP business jets used to perform ELINT missions. These aircraft have been in service with the Swedish Air Force since 1992, when they have replaced the two TP85s (modified Caravelle airliners formerly belonging to the SAS airline) that had been operated for 20 years since 1972. They are equipped with sensors operated by ELINT personnel from the FRA (the Radio Establishment of the Defence), capable to eavesdrop, collect and analyse enemy electronic emissions. As we have often reported here at The Aviationist, the Korpen jets routinely conduct surveillance missions over the Baltic Sea, flying high and fast in international airspace off the area of interest. The most frequent “target” of the S102B is Kaliningrad Oblast and its Russian installations. For this reason, the Swedish ELINT aircraft are also frequently intercepted by Russian Su-27 Flankers scrambled from the Kaliningrad exclave’s airbases.

Anyway, it looks like the Swedish airplane has now pointed its sensors to the Russian signals in Syria, deploying to Larnaca, Cyprus: the example 102003/”023″, using call sign “SVF647”, was tracked, by means of its ADS-B/Mode-S transponder, twice on May 1, flying off Syria, Lebanon, Israel and Egypt, more or less in the very same way many other aircraft (U.S. Navy P-8s, U.S. Air Force RQ-4 and RC-135s) have been doing for some weeks.

https://theaviationist.com/2018/05/02/why-is-a-swedish-elint-aircraft-operating-off-lebanon-and-syria-these-days/

Russia cuts defense budget!

As this article suggests, sanctions have hurt the Russian economy, forcing significant cuts to the defense budget. But another factor forcing defense cuts are Russia’s own oil production cuts, arranged in concert with OPEC, designed to keep the price of petroleum high. The cuts do, in fact, keep prices for oil higher, but at the cost of production and the loss of market share to American oil companies. All of this is being driven by the Fracking boom.

Russia’s military spending fell sharply in 2017 for the first time since 1998 as a slew of Western economic sanctions hit government coffers hard, a closely followed review said Wednesday.

Despite soaring tensions between Moscow and the West, Russia’s military expenses last year came in at $66.3 billion, 20 percent lower than in 2016, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said.

The last time Moscow was forced to cut spending was in 1998 at the height of a massive economic crisis.

“Military modernization remains a priority in Russia, but the military budget has been restricted by economic problems that the country has experienced since 2014,” senior SIPRI researcher Siemon Wezeman said, referring to Western sanctions imposed against Moscow over its annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea Peninsula.

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/05/02/world/sanctions-force-russia-cut-defense-spending-first-time-since-98-study-says/#.WumsMpch2Uk